# Иностранная литература и современность: General Statistics: Ch 6 HW Flashcards

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What requirements are necessary for a normal probability distribution
to be a *standard* normal probability distribution?

The mean and standard deviation have the values of **µ**
= 0 and **σ** = 1.

The waiting times between a subway departure schedule and the arrival of a passenger are uniformly distributed between 0 and 8 minutes. Find the probability that a randomly selected passenger has a waiting time less than 0.75 minutes.

* * **0.098**

*P(less than 0.75) = (length of shaded region) x (height of
shaded region)*

*= (0.75 – 0) x (1 ÷ 8) *round to 2 dec. places*

*=(0.75) x (0.13) = 0.0975*

Find the area of the shaded region. The graph depicts the standard normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.

The area of the shaded region is **0.7019**.

Find the area of the shaded region. The graph depicts the standard normal distribution of bone density scores with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.

The area of the shaded region is ** 0.7309**.

*Area = (0.8944 – 0.1635)*

Find the indicated z score. The graph depicts the standard normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.

The indicated z score is ** -0.74**.

Find the indicated z score. The graph depicts the standard normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1.

The indicated z score is **1.05**.

*Symmetric to Area of 0.1469 (z score of -1.05)*

*OR*

*Area = 1 – 0.1469*

Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Those test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

Find the probability that a given score is less than 1.66 and draw a sketch of the region.

The probability is ** 0.9515**.

Assume the readings on thermometers are normally distributed with a mean of 0°C and a standard deviation of 1.00°C.

Find the probability that a randomly selected thermometer reads greater than –1.78 and draw a sketch of the region.

The probability is ** 0.9625**.

*Symmetric to z-score of 1.78 (Area = 0.9625)*

*OR*

*1 – 0.0375*

Assume the readings on thermometers are normally distributed with a mean of 0°C and a standard deviation of 1.00°C.

Find the probability that a randomly selected thermometer reads between –1.03 and –0.02 and draw a sketch of the region.

The probability is ** 0.3405**.

*Area = (0.4920 – 0.1515)*

Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Those test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

Find the probability that a given score is between –2.02 and 3.84 and draw a sketch of the region.

The probability is **0.9782**.

** For values of z above 3.48, use 0.9999*

*Area = (0.9999 – 0.0217)*

Assume that the readings on the thermometers are normally distributed with a mean of 0° and standard deviation of 1.00°C. A thermometer is randomly selected and tested.

Draw a sketch and find the temperature reading
corresponding to P_{97}, the 97th percentile. This is the
temperature reading separating the bottom 97% from the top 3%.

The temperature for P_{97} is approximately ** 1.88 °**.

*Area of 0.9700 ≈ 0.9699 (z score of 1.88)*

Assume that the readings on the thermometers are normally distributed with a mean of 0° and standard deviation of 1.00°C. Assume 2.1% of the thermometers are rejected because they have readings that are too high and another 2.1% are rejected because they have readings that are too low.

Draw a sketch and find the two readings that are cutoff values separating the rejected thermometers from the others.

The cutoff values are ** –2.03, 2.03** degrees.

*Area values nearest 0.021 and 0.979*

*≈ 0.0212 and 0.9788*

Find the indicated area under the curve of the standard normal distribution, then convert it to a percentage and fill in the blank.

About
**72.86**% of the area is between z = –1.1 and z = 1.1 (or within 1.1 standard deviations of the mean).

Which of the following groups of terms can be used interchangeably when working with normal distributions?

**areas, probability, and relative frequencies**

*Area, probability, percentages, and relative frequencies are all
used interchangeably when working with normal distributions.*

Which of the following is NOT a requirement for a density curve?

** The graph is centered around 0. **

*"The graph is centered around 0" is not a requirement
for a density curve.*

Which of the following does NOT describe the standard normal distribution?

**The graph is uniform.**

*The standard normal distribution is not uniform because its graph
is bell-shaped.*

Which of the following would be information in a question asking you to find the area of a region under the standard normal curve as a solution?

** A distance on the horizontal axis is given **

*When given a z-score, you are usually finding the area of the
shaded region under the standard normal curve. For the standard
normal curve, a z-score is a distance along the horizontal axis.*

Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Those test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

Find the probability that a given score is less than 3.61 and draw a sketch of the region.

The probability is **0.9999**.

Assume that a randomly selected subject is given a bone density test. Bone density test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

Draw a graph and find P_{3}, the 3rd percentile. This is the bone density score
separating the bottom 3% from the top 97%.

The bone density score corresponding to Upper P 3 is **–1.88**.

*Area = 0.0300 ≈ 0.0301*

Find the indicated critical value.

*z _{0.04}*

z_{0.04} = **1.75**

*Area = 0.0400 ≈ 0.0401*

A survey found that women's heights are normally distributed with mean 63.6 in and standard deviation 2.3 in. A branch of the military requires women's heights to be between 58 in and 80 in.

- Find the percentage of women meeting the height requirement. Are many women being denied the opportunity to join this branch of the military because they are too short or too tall?
- If this branch of the military changes the height requirements so that all women are eligible except the shortest 1% and the tallest 2%, what are the new height requirements?

**a.** The percentage of women who meet the height
requirement is ** 99.25**%.

**(58 – 63.6) ÷ 2.3 = -2.43 (min)*

**(80 – 63.6) ÷ 2.3 = 7.13 (max)*

P(-2.43 < z < 7.13)

= (1.0000 – 0.0075)

= 0.9925

**No, because only a small percentage of women are not allowed
to join this branch of the military because of their height.**

**b.** For the new height requirements, this branch of
the military requires women's heights to be at least **58.2** in
and at most
**68.3** in.

**shortest 1% = 0.0100 ≈ 0.0099 (value of -2.33)*

**tallest 2% = 0.9800 ≈ 0.9798 (value of 2.05)*

** *µ + (x × σ)**

*63.6 + (-2.33 × 2.3) = 58.241*

*63.6 + (2.05 × 2.3) = 68.315*

Men's heights are normally distributed with mean 68.7 in and standard deviation of 2.8 in. Women's heights are normally distributed with mean 63.5 in and standard deviation of 2.5 in. The standard doorway height is 80 in.

- What percentage of men are too tall to fit through a standard doorway without bending, and what percentage of women are too tall to fit through a standard doorway without bending?
- If a statistician designs a house so that all of the doorways have heights that are sufficient for all men except the tallest 5%, what doorway height would be used?

**a.** The percentage of men who are too tall to fit
through a standard door without bending is ** 0**%.

**(80 – 68.7) ÷ 2.8 = 4.035714286 ≈ 4.04*

*P(z > 4.04)*

*= 1 – P(z < 4.04)*

*= 1 – 0.9999*

*= 0.0001 = 0%*

The percentage of women who are too tall to fit through a
standard door without bending is ** 0**%.

**(80 – 63.5) ÷ 2.5 = 6.6*

*P(z > 6.60)*

*= 1 – P(z < 6.60)*

*= 1 – 0.9999*

*= 0.0001 = 0%*

**b.** The statistician would design a house with doorway
height
**73.3** in.

**tallest 5% = 0.9500 ≈ 1.645*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*68.7 + (1.645 × 2.8) = 73.306*

The lengths of pregnancies are normally distributed with a mean of 266 days and a standard deviation of 15 days.

- Find the probability of a pregnancy lasting 307 days or longer.
- If the length of pregnancy is in the lowest 2%, then the baby is premature. Find the length that separates premature babies from those who are not premature.

**a.** The probability that a pregnancy will last 307
days or longer is ** 0.0032**.

**(307 – 266) ÷ 15 = 2.7333333 (z score)*

*P(z > 2.73)*

*= 1 – P(z < 2.73)*

*= 1 – 0.9977*

*= 0.0032*

**b.** Babies who are born on or before **235**
days are considered premature.

**lowest 2% = 0.0200 ≈ 0.0202 = -2.05*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*266 + (-2.05 × 15) = 235.25*

Assume that the Richter scale magnitudes of earthquakes are normally distributed with a mean of 1.087 and a standard deviation of 0.562.

- Earthquakes with magnitudes less than 2.000 are considered "microearthquakes" that are not felt. What percentage of earthquakes fall into this category?
- Earthquakes above 4.0 will cause indoor items to shake. What percentage of earthquakes fall into this category?
- Find the 95th percentile.
- Will all earthquakes above the 95th percentile cause indoor items to shake?

**a.** ** 94.74**%

**(2.00 – 1.087) ÷ 0.562 = 1.62455516*

*P(z < 1.62) = 0.9474*

**b.** **0**%

**(4.00 – 1.087) ÷ 0.562 = 5.183274021*

*P(z > 5.18)*

*= 1 – P(z < 5.18)*

*= 1 – 0.9999*

*= 0.0001*

**c. 2.011**

**95th = 0.9500 = 1.645 (z score)*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*1.087 + (1.645 × 0.562) = 2.01149*

**d.** No, because not all earthquakes above the 95th
percentile have magnitudes above 4.0.

Chocolate chip cookies have a distribution that is approximately normal with a mean of 23.1 chocolate chips per cookie and a standard deviation of 2.6 chocolate chips per cookie.

Find P_{5} and P_{95}.

How might those values be helpful to the producer of the chocolate chip cookies?

P_{5} = **18.8**

**P _{5} = 0.0500 = -1.645 (z score)*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*23.1 + (-1.645 × 2.6) = 18.823*

P_{95} =
**27.4**

**95th = 0.9500 = 1.645 (z score)*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*23.1 + (1.645 × 2.6) = 27.377*

**The values can be used to identify cookies with an unusually
low or high number of chocolate chips, so those numbers can be used
to monitor the production process to ensure that the numbers of
chocolate chips stays within reasonable limits.**

Pulse rates of women are normally distributed with a mean of 77.5 beats per minute and a standard deviation of 11.6 beats per minute.

What are the values of the mean and standard deviation after
converting all pulse rates of women to z scores using z = (x –
**µ**) ÷ **σ**?

The original pulse rates are measure with units of "beats per minute". What are the units of the corresponding z scores?

**µ = 0**

**σ = 1**

**The z scores are numbers without units of measurement.**

Find the area of the shaded region. The graph to the right depicts IQ scores of adults, and those scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.

The area of the shaded region is ** 0.3707**.

**z = (95 – 100) ÷ 15 = -0.333*

*P(z < -0.33) = 0.3707*

Assume that adults have IQ scores that are normally distributed with
a mean of **µ **= 100 and a standard deviation
**σ** = 15.

Find the probability that a randomly selected adult has an IQ less than 118.

The probability that a randomly selected adult has an IQ less than
118 is ** 0.8849**.

**z = (118 – 100) ÷ 15 = 1.2*

*P(z < 1.20) = 0.8849*

Assume that adults have IQ scores that are normally distributed with
a mean of 100 and a standard deviation 15. Find P_{3}, which
is the IQ score separating the bottom 3% from the top 97%.

The IQ score that separates the bottom 10% from the top 90% is
P_{3} = ** 71.8**.

**bottom 3% = 0.0300 ≈ 0.0301 (z score = -1.88)*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*100 + (-1.88 × 15) = 71.8*

Find the area of the shaded region. The graph to the right depicts IQ scores of adults, and those scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.

The area of the shaded region is ** 0.2674**.

**z _{1} = (108 – 100) ÷ 15 = 0.533*

**z _{2} = (128 – 100) ÷ 15 = 1.867*

*P(0.53 < z < 1.87)*

*= 0.9693 – 0.7019*

*= 0.2674*

Find the indicated IQ score. The graph to the right depicts IQ scores of adults, and those scores are normally distributed with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15.

The indicated IQ score, x, is ** 96.3**.

**1 – 0.6 = 0.4 ≈ 0.4013 (z score = -0.25)*

** µ + (x × σ)**

*= 100 + (-0.25 × 15)*

*= 96.25*

Which of the following is not true?

- A z-score is an area under the normal curve.
- A z-score is a conversion that standardizes any value from a normal distribution to a standard normal distribution.
- The area in any normal distribution bounded by some score x is the same as the area bounded by the equivalent z-score in the standard normal distribution.
- If values are converted to standard z-scores, then procedures for working with all normal distributions are the same as those for the standard normal distribution.

A z-score is an area under the normal curve.

*A z-score is not an area under the normal curve. Distances along
the horizontal axis are represented by z-scores, while regions
under the curve are represented by areas.*

What conditions would produce a negative z-score?

a z-score corresponding to an area located entirely in the left side of the curve

*A z-score corresponding to an area located entirely in the left
side of the curve would produce a negative z-score.*

Which of the following statistics are unbiased estimators of population parameters?

- Sample proportion used to estimate a population proportion.
- Sample range used to estimate a population range.
- Sample variance used to estimate a population variance.
- Sample mean used to estimate a population mean.
- Sample standard deviation used to estimate a population standard deviation.
- Sample median used to estimate a population median.

** Sample proportion used to estimate a population proportion.**

**Sample variance used to estimate a population variance.**

**Sample mean used to estimate a population mean. **

*Sample means, sample proportions, and sample variances are
unbiased estimators of population parameters. That is, their
sampling distributions have a mean that is equal to the mean of the
corresponding population parameter.*

The assets (in billions of dollars) of the four wealthiest people in a particular country are 37, 27, 22, 19. Assume that samples of size n = 2 are randomly selected with replacement from this population of four values.

- After identifying the 16 different possible samples and finding the mean of each sample, construct a table representing the sampling distribution of the sample mean. In the table, values of the sample mean that are the same have been combined.
- Compare the mean of the population to the mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.
- Do the sample means target the value of the population mean? In general, do sample means make good estimates of population means? Why or why not?

** a. (see picture)**

*37-37; 37-27; 37-22; 37-19; 27-37; 27-27; 27-22; 27-19; 22-37;
22-27; 22-22; 22-19; 19-37; 19-27; 19-22; 19-19 – (16 samples)*

*The distinct means are 37, 32, 29.5, 28, 27, 24.5, 23, 22,
20.5, and 19. To find the corresponding probability for each mean,
divide the number of occurrences of that mean by the total number of samples.*

**b. **The mean of the population,
**26.25**, is **equal
to** the mean of the sample means, ** 26.25**.

*Recall that the mean of a set of data is the measure of center
found by adding the data values and dividing the total by the number
of data values.*

*(37, 27, 22, 19) ÷ 4 = 26.25*

**c.** The sample means **target**
the population mean. In general, sample means **do**
make good estimates of population means because the mean is **
an
unbiased** estimator.

Which of the following is NOT a property of the sampling distribution of the sample mean?

- The sample means target the value of the population mean.
- The distribution of the sample mean tends to be skewed to the right or left.
- The mean of the sample means is the population mean.
- The expected value of the sample mean is equal to the population mean.

**The distribution of the sample mean tends to be skewed to the
right or left.**

*This is not a property of the sampling distribution. The
distribution of the sample means tends to be a normal distribution.*

Which of the following is a biased estimator? That is, which of the following does not target the population parameter?

**Median**

*The median is a biased estimator. It does not target the
population parameter.*

The population of current statistics students has ages with mean
**µ **and standard deviation **σ**.
Samples of statistics students are randomly selected so that there are
exactly 37 students in each sample. For each sample, the mean age is computed.

What does the central limit theorem tell us about the distribution of those mean ages?

** Because n > 30, the sampling distribution of the mean ages
can be approximated by a normal distribution with mean µ and
standard deviation σ ÷ √(37) .**

*The central limit theory applies whenever n > 30. Because n
> 30, the sampling distribution of the mean ages can be
approximated by a normal distribution with mean µ
and standard deviation σ ÷ √(n) .*

Which of the following is NOT a conclusion of the Central Limit Theorem?

- The standard deviation of all sample means is the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size.
- The mean of
all sample means is the population mean
**µ**. - The distribution of the sample means
**x̄**will, as the sample size increases, approach a normal distribution. - The distribution of the sample data will approach a normal distribution as the sample size increases.

** The distribution of the sample data will approach a normal
distribution as the sample size increases.**

*The Central Limit Theorem applies to the sampling distribution of
x̄ and not to the distribution of the sample data.*

Which of the following is not a commonly used practice?

- If the distribution of the sample means is normally distributed, and n > 30, then the population distribution is normally distributed.
- The distribution of sample means gets closer to a normal distribution as the sample size n gets larger.
- If the original population is not normally distributed and n > 30, the distribution of the sample means can be approximated reasonably well by a normal distribution.
- If the original population is normally distributed, then for any sample size n, the sample means will be normally distributed.

**If the distribution of the sample means is normally
distributed, and n > 30, then the population distribution is
normally distributed.**

*This is not always the case because skewed population
distributions may have sampling distributions that are normally distributed.*

Assume that women's heights are normally distributed with a mean
given by **µ** = 63.6 in, and a standard deviation given
by** σ** = 2.6 in.

**(a)** If 1 woman is randomly selected, find the
probability that her height is less than 64 in.

**(b)** If 44 women are randomly selected, find the
probability that they have a mean height less than 64 in.

**(a)** The probability is approximately **0.5596**.

*(64 – 63.6) ÷ 2.6*

*= 0.1538461538*

*≈ 0.15*

*Area to the left of z = 0.15 is approximately 0.5596*

**(b)** The probability is approximately ** 0.8461**.

** σ_{x̄} = σ ÷ √(n)**

*= 2.6 ÷ √(44)*

*≈ 0.391964748*

*z ≈ (64 – 63.6) ÷ 0.391964748*

*≈ 1.020499935*

*≈ 1.02*

*Area to the left of z = 1.02 is approximately 0.8461*

Assume that women's heights are normally distributed with a mean
given by **µ** = 62.2 in, and a standard deviation given
by **σ** = 2.8 in.

- If 1 woman is randomly selected, find the probability that her height is between 62.0 in and 63.0 in.
- If 15 women are randomly selected, find the probability that they have a mean height between 62.0 in and 63.0 in.

**a.** The probability is approximately ** 0.1420**.

*z _{low} = (62.0 – 62.2) ÷ 2.8*

*= -0.0714285714 ≈ -0.07*

*z _{up} = (63.0 – 62.2) ÷ 2.8*

*= 0.2857142857 ≈ 0.29*

*The probability is the area between z _{low} = -0.07 and
z_{up} = 0.29 under the standard normal distribution.*

*Area = 0.6141 – 0.4721 = 0.1420*

b. The probability is approximately ** 0.4768**.

** σ_{x̄} = σ ÷ √(n)**

*= 2.8 ÷ √(15)*

*≈ 0.7229568913*

*z _{low} = (62.0 – 62.2) ÷ 0.7229568913*

*≈ -0.2766416676*

*≈ -0.28*

*z _{up} ≈ (63.0 – 62.2) ÷ 0.47229568913*

*≈ 1.10656667*

*≈ 1.11*

*The probability is the area between z = -0.28 and z = 1.11 under
the standard normal distribution.*

*0.8665 – 0.3897 = 0.4768*

Women have head circumferences that are normally distributed with a
mean given by **µ** = 24.27 in., and a standard
deviation given by** σ** = 0.8 in.

- If a hat company produces women's hats so that they fit head circumferences between 23.6 in. and 24.6 in., what is the probability that a randomly selected woman will be able to fit into one of these hats?
- If the company wants to produce hats to fit all women except for those with the smallest 1.25% and the largest 1.25% head circumferences, what head circumferences should be accommodated?
- If 12 women are randomly selected, what is the probability that their mean head circumference is between 23.6 in. and 24.6 in.?
- If this probability is high, does it suggest that an order of 12 hats will very likely fit each of 12 randomly selected women? Why or why not? (Assume that the hat company produces women's hats so that they fit head circumferences between 23.6 in. and 24.6 in.)

**a.** The probability is ** 0.4586**.

*z _{low} = (23.6.0 – 24.27) ÷ 0.8*

*≈ -0.84*

*z _{up} = (24.6 – 24.27) ÷ 0.8*

*≈ 0.41*

*The probability is the area between z _{low} = -0.84 and
z_{up} = 0.41 under the standard normal distribution.*

*Area = 0.6591 – 0.2005 = 0.4586*

**b.** The minimum head circumference accommodated should
be ** 22.48** in.

The maximum head circumference accommodated should be **26.06** in.

*smallest 1.25% = 0.0125 --> z = -2.24*

*largest 1.25% = 0.9875 --> z = 2.24*

*min = (-2.24)(0.8) + 24.27 = 22.478*

*max = (2.24)(0.8) + 24.27 = 26.062*

**c.** The probability is **0.9217**.

** σ_{x̄} = σ ÷ √(n)**

*= 0.8 ÷ √(12)*

*≈ 0.2309401077*

*z _{low} = (23.6 – 24.27) ÷ 0.2309401077*

*≈ -2.90*

*z _{up} ≈ (24.6 – 24.27) ÷ 0.2309401077*

*≈ 1.43*

*The probability is the area between z = -2.90 and z = 1.43 under
the standard normal distribution.*

*0.9236 – 0.0019 = 0.9217*

**d.** No, the hats must fit individual women, not the
mean from 12 women. If all hats are made to fit head circumferences
between 23.6 in. and 24.6 in., the hats won't fit about half of
those women.

A ski gondola carries skiers to the top of a mountain. It bears a plaque stating that the maximum capacity is 12 people or 1920 lb. That capacity will be exceeded if 12 people have weights with a mean greater than (1920 lb)/12 = 160 lb. Assume that weights of passengers are normally distributed with a mean of 177.5 lb and a standard deviation of 40.4 lb.

- Find the probability that if an individual passenger is randomly selected, their weight will be greater than 160 lb.
- Find the probability that 12 randomly selected passengers will have a mean weight that is greater than 160 lb (so that their total weight is greater than the gondola maximum capacity of 1920 lb)

**a. 0.6664**

* z = (160 –
177.5) ÷ 40.4*

*= -0.43*

*The cumulative area is 0.3336*

*Subtract this probability from 1 to find the probability that the
passenger's weight is greater than 160 lb.*

*1 – 0.3336 = 0.6664*

**b. 0.9332**

* z = (x̄
– µ) ÷ (σ / √(n) )*

*= (160 – 177.5) ÷ (40.4 / √(12) )*

*= -1.50*

*The cumulative area is 0.0668*

*Subtract this probability from 1 to find the probability that the
sample mean is greater than 160 lb.*

*1 – 0.0668 = 0.9332*

**c. No, there is a high probability that the gondola will be
overloaded if it is occupied by 12 passengers, so it appears that
the number of allowed passengers should be reduced.**

*The gondola will be overloaded if the mean weight of the
passengers is above the maximum allowed mean weight.*

An engineer is going to redesign an ejection seat for an airplane. The seat was designed for pilots weighing between 150 lb and 191 lb. The new population of pilots has normally distributed weights with a mean of 156 lb and a standard deviation of 25.7 lb.

- If a pilot is randomly selected, find the probability that his weight is between 150 lb and 191 lb.
- If 33 different pilots are randomly selected, find the probability that their mean weight is between 150 lb and 191 lb.
- When redesigning the ejection seat, which probability is more relevant?

**a. **The probability is approximately **0.5041**.

*z _{low} = (150 – 156) ÷ 25.7*

*≈ -0.23*

*z _{up} = (191 – 156) ÷ 25.7*

*≈ 1.36*

*The probability is the area between z _{low} = -0.23 and
z_{up} = 1.36 under the standard normal distribution.*

*Area = 0.9131 – 0.4090 = 0.5041*

**b.** The probability is approximately ** 0.9098**.

** σ_{x̄} = σ ÷ √(n)**

*= 25.7 ÷ √(33)*

*≈ 4.473795758*

*z _{low} = (150 – 156) ÷ 4.473795758*

*≈ -1.34*

*z _{up} ≈ (191 – 156) ÷ 4.473795758*

*≈ 7.82*

*The probability is the area between z = -1.34 and z = 7.82 under
the standard normal distribution.*

*0.9999 – 0.0901 = 0.9098*

**c. **Part (a) because the seat performance for a single
pilot is more important.

An airliner carries 200 passengers and has doors with a height of 72 in. Heights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 69.0 in and a standard deviation of 2.8 in.

- If a male passenger is randomly selected, find the probability that he can fit through the doorway without bending.
- If half of the 200 passengers are men, find the probability that the mean height of the 100 men is less than 72 in.
- When considering the comfort and safety of passengers, which result is more relevant: the probability from part (a) or the probability from part (b)? Why?
- When considering the comfort and safety of passengers, why are women ignored in this case?

**a.** The probability is ** 0.8577**.

*z = (72 – 69.0) ÷ 2.8*

*= 1.07*

*The cumulative area is 0.8577*

**b. **The probability is ** 0.9999**.

* z = (x̄ – µ) ÷ (σ / √(n) )*

*= (72 – 69.0) ÷ (2.8 / √(100) )*

*= 10.71*

*The cumulative area is 0.9999*

**c.** The probability from part (a) is more relevant
because it shows the proportion of male passengers that will not need
to bend.

**d. ** Since men are generally taller than women, a
design that accommodates a suitable proportion of men will necessarily
accommodate a greater proportion of women.

Before every flight, the pilot must verify that the total weight of the load is less than the maximum allowable load for the aircraft. The aircraft can carry 35 passengers, and a flight has fuel and baggage that allows for a total passenger load of 5,880 lb. The pilot sees that the plane is full and all passengers are men. The aircraft will be overloaded if the mean weight of the passengers is greater than (5,880 lb)/35 = 168 lb.

What is the probability that the aircraft is overloaded?

Should the pilot take any action to correct for an overloaded aircraft? Assume that weights of men are normally distributed with a mean of 175.5 lb and a standard deviation of 38.7.

The probability is approximately ** 0.8749**.

** σ_{x̄} = σ ÷ √(n)**

*= 38.7 ÷ √(35)*

*≈ 6.541493932*

*z = (168 – 175.5) ÷ 6.541493932*

*≈ -1.15*

*The cumulative area is 0.1251*

*Subtract this area from 1 to find the area to the right.*

*1 – 0.1251 = 0.8749*

**Yes. Because the probability is high, the pilot should take
action by somehow reducing the weight of the aircraft.**

The value given below is discrete. Use the continuity correction and describe the region of the normal distribution that corresponds to the indicated probability.

Probability of exactly 5 passengers who do not show up for a flight

The area between 4.5 and 5.5

If np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5, estimate P(more than 5) with n = 12 and p = 0.4 by using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution; if np < 5 or nq < 5, then state that the normal approximation is not suitable.

**The normal distribution cannot be used.**

*np = (12)(0.4) = 4.8 < 5*

If np ≥ 5 and nq ≥ 5, estimate P(more than 5) with n = 13 and p = 0.6 by using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution; if np < 5 or nq < 5, then state that the normal approximation is not suitable.

P(at least 8) = **0.567**

*µ = np =
(13)(0.6) = 7.8*

*σ = √(npq) = √(13×0.6×0.4) = 1.766352173*

*z = (x – 0.5 – µ) ÷ σ*

*= (8 – 0.5 – 7.8) ÷ 1.766352 = -0.17*

*Area = 0.4325*

*P(at least 8) = 1 – P(less than 8)*

*= 1 – 0.433*

*= 0.567*

A scientist conducted a hybridization experiment using peas with green pods and yellow pods. He crossed peas in such a way that 25% (or 144) of the 576 offspring peas were expected to have yellow pods. Instead of getting 144 peas with yellow pods, he obtained 149. Assume that the rate of 25% is correct.

- Find the probability that among the 576 offspring peas, exactly 149 have yellow pods.
- Find the probability that among the 576 offspring peas, at least 149 have yellow pods.
- Which result is useful for determining whether the claimed rate of 25% is incorrect? (Part (a) or part (b)?)
- Is there strong evidence to suggest that the rate of 25% is incorrect?

**a.** The probability that exactly 149 have yellow pods is **0.0355**.

**b.** The probability that at least 149 have yellow pods is **0.3336**.

**c. Part
(b)** is useful for determining whether the claimed rate
is incorrect.

**d. No**

A gender-selection technique is designed to increase the likelihood that a baby will be a girl. In the results of the gender-selection technique, 809 births consisted of 422 baby girls and 387 baby boys. In analyzing these results, assume that boys and girls are equally likely.

- Find the probability of getting exactly 422 girls in 809 births.
- Find the probability of getting 422 or more girls in 809 births. If boys and girls are equally likely, is 422 girls in 809 births unusually high?
- Which probability is relevant for trying to determine whether the technique is effective: the result from part (a) or the result from part (b)?
- Based on the results, does it appear that the gender-selection technique is effective?

**a.** The probability of getting exactly 422 girls in 809 births is **0.0131**.

**b.** The probability of getting 422 or more girls in 809 births
is **0.1151**.

**c.** No, because 422 girls in
809 births is not far from what is expected,
given the probability of having a girl or a boy**.**

**d.** No, because the probability
of having 422 or more girls in 809 births is not punlikely,
and thus, is attributable to random chance.

In a survey of 1227 people, 828 people said they voted in a recent presidential election. Voting records show that 65% of eligible voters actually did vote. Given that 65% of eligible voters actually did vote.

- Find the probability that among 1227 randomly selected voters, at least 828 actually did vote.
- What do the results from part (a) suggest?

**(a) **P(X ≥ 828) = **0.0359**

**(b) **Some people are being less than honest because
P(x ≥ 828) is less than 5%.

Based on a recent survey, 20% of adults in a specific country smoke. In a survey of 100 students, it is found that 18 of them smoke.

Find the probability that should be used for determining whether the 20% rate is correct for students.

What can be concluded?

The probability that should be used for determining whether the 20% rate is correct is **0.352**.

There is not very strong evidence against the 20% rate because this probability is not very small.

Which of the following is NOT a requirement for using the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution?

- The sample is a simple random sample of size n from a population in which the proportion of successes is p, or the sample is the result of conducting n independent trials of a binomial experiment in which the probability of success is p.
- nq ≥ 5
- The sample is the result of conducting several dependent trials of an experiment in which the probability of success is p.
- np ≥ 5

**The sample is the result of conducting several dependent
trials of an experiment in which the probability of success is p.**

*Having the sample as the result of conducting several dependent
trials of an experiment in which the probability of success is p is
not a requirement for using the normal distribution as an
approximation to the binomial distribution.*

Which statement below indicates the area to the left of 19.5 before a continuity correction is used?

- At least 19
- At least 20
- Less than 19
- At most 19

**At most 19**

*"At most 19" indicates the area to the left of 19.5
before a continuity correction is used.*

A continuity correction is made to a discrete whole number x in the binomial distribution by representing the discrete whole number x by which of the following intervals?

** x – 0.5 to x + 0.5**

* The interval is x–0.5 to x+0.5 because 0.5 needs to be added and
subtracted from x to create the interval. *