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SCM - Chapter 9

front 1

Which of the following statements about forecasts is​ true?

back 1

forecasts for the near term tend to be more accurate

front 2

One qualitative forecasting method bases the forecast for a new product or service on the actual sales history of a similar product or service. An example is forecasting demand for the newest model of iPod by using the demand history from the previous model of iPod. This method is

back 2

life cycle analogy

front 3

A qualitative forecasting method which brings experts together to jointly discuss and develop forecasts is

back 3

panel consensus forecasting

front 4

Which of the following statements about forecasts is​ true?

back 4

forecasts for groups of products tend to be more accurate

front 5

Long-term movement of demand up or down in a time series is

back 5

a trend

front 6

Structured questionnaires submitted to potential​ customers, often to gauge potential​ demand, are

back 6

market surveys

front 7

"A set of business​ processes, backed up by information​ technology, in which supply chain partners agree to mutual business objectives and​ measures, develop joint sales and operational​ plans, and collaborate to generate and update sales forecasts and replenishment​ plans" is the definition of

back 7

collaborative​ planning, forecasting, and replenishment​ (CPFR)

front 8

The situation is vague and little data​ exists, as in the case of new products or technologies. In this​ case, which of the following forecasting approachs is​ used?

back 8

qualitative method

front 9

​"An estimate of the future value of some​ variable" is the definition of

back 9

a forecast

front 10

Which of the following statements about forecasts is​ true?

back 10

forecasts are no substitute for calculated values

front 11

Unpredictable movement of demand from one period to the next in a time series is

back 11

randomness

front 12

Collaborative​ planning, forecasting, and replenishment systems perform many necessary supply chain processes. Which of the following typically does NOT fall under the scope of a CPFR​ system?

back 12

development of a layout and process choice

front 13

Which of the following statements about forecasts is​ true?

back 13

forecasts are almost always wrong

front 14

A qualitative forecasting method which utilizes individuals familiar with specific market​ segments, has them estimate the demand within these​ segments, and adds the forecasts together to get an overall forecast is

back 14

build-up forecasting

front 15

A qualitative forecasting method which utilizes structured questionnaires submitted to potential customers soliciting opinions about potential products to estimate likely demand is

back 15

market surveys

front 16

One qualitative forecasting method uses experts working individually. The individual forecasts are shared among the​ group, after which each participant is allowed to modify his or her forecast based on the shared information. This method is

back 16

Delphi

front 17

Refrigerant​ R-12 was to be phased out as manufacturers switched systems to the environmentally friendly but more expensive GHG. Refrigeration repairmen consulted their forecasting models and unanimously concluded that they should stockpile​ R-12 while it was still affordable.These forecasting models could be classified as

back 17

price forecasts

front 18

The situation is stable and historical data​ exists, as in the case of mature products or technologies. In this​ case, which of the following forecasting approachs is​used?

back 18

quantitative method